Gauging Bankruptcy using Altman’s Z-Score

Empirical Investigation from the Pharmaceutical Sector

Authors

  • Babar Ansari Greenwich University, Karachi
  • Muhammad Yawar-uz-Zaman Institute of Business Management, Karachi
  • Rabia Sabri Institute of Business Management, Karachi

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.58341/srj.v2i3.27

Abstract

This study aims to construct timely responses to escape financial distress and further losses and prevent financial crises. The main focus of the research is to present the analysis of financial distress on the performance of the five firms listed on the Pakistan Stock Exchange under the Pharmaceutical sector within ten years. If financial distress is not identified in time and inappropriate measures are taken, insolvency (bankruptcy) is likely to occur. This study sought to test the validity of Altman’s Z-score and its effectiveness in identifying the financial distress on the performance of firms in the pharmaceutical sector. The sample size consists of cross-sectional time series annual data of five pharmaceutical companies listed on the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX). The data set has been tracked for ten years, from 2006 to 2016. The analytical model (Z-score) developed by Edward Altman is used in this study as the statistical technique. The results concluded that Abbot, Glaxo and Wyeth generally experienced stability and incline in the Z-Score values throughout the years. These companies have been fit into non-financial distress. On the other hand, Ferozsons and Highnoon have been in between a range of grey areas. The companies had a probability of experiencing the problems of financial distress. Consequently, companies have started to reach their peak and fit into non-financial distress.

Keywords:

Financial performance, Altman Z-Score, Bankruptcy, financial distress, Pharmaceutical sector

References

Acharyya, M. K. (2023). Assessing the Feasibility of Altman's" Z" Score Model in Identifying Companies on the Verge of Financial Collapse: A Study on Select Indian Pharma Companies. ESSBC Journal of Business Studies, 1(1), 25-34.

Ahmad, I., Ali, Z., & Usman, M. (2018). Predicting Corporate Financial Distress: The Case of Pakistan. Global Social Sciences Review, 3(3), 488-503.

http://dx.doi.org/10.31703/gssr.2018(III-III).28

Ahmad, M., & Raza, M. (2016). Determinants of Stock Returns: A Comparison of Distress and Non Distressed Firms: Cement, Chemical and Pharmaceutical Companies Listed In Pakistan Stock Exchange. Research Journal of Innovative Ideas and Thoughts, 4(2), 75-88.

Akter, S. (2021). Financial Fitness of Selected Pharmaceuticals Companies of Bangladesh: A Comparative Assessment. American Economic & Social Review, 7(1), 10-24.

Altman, E. (2000). Predicting financial distress of companies: Revisiting the Z-score and ZETA models. Stern School of Business, New York University, 9-12.

Anggraini, E. A., & Verlandes, Y. (2023). Financial Ratios Analysis Using The Z-Score Altman Method in Measuring Financial Performance to Predict Bankruptcy in Sharia General Banking (Case Study of Islamic Banking Companies Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2020-2021). International Journal of Management and Business Economics, 1(3), 167-171.

Andrade, G., & Kaplan, S. N. How costly is financial (Not economic) distress? Evidence from highly leveraged transactions that became distressed. The Journal of Finance, 53(5), 1443-1493.

Beaver, W. (1966). Financial ratios as predictors of failure. Journal of Accounting Research, 71-111.

Deakin, E. B. (1972). A discriminant analysis of predictors of failure. Journal of Accounting Research, 10(1), 167-179.

Emre, G. İ., & Serdar, Y. H. (2023). Application of The Altman Z’’score Model in Forecasting the Financial Position of BIST Companies. Финансы: теория и практика, 27(2), 192-202.

Hamdani, H., Rahmi, S., & Juniar, A. (2023). Analysis of Financial Statements Using the Altman Z-Score, Springate and Zmijewski Models to Predict Bankruptcy. Riwayat: Educational Journal of History and Humanities, 6(3), 1090-1096.

Ijaz, M. S., Hunjra, A. I., Hameed, Z., & Maqbool, A. (2013). Assessing the financial failure using the Z-score and current ratio: A case of sugar sector listed companies of Karachi Stock Exchange. World Applied Sciences Journal, 23(6), 863-870.

Ilahi, I., Jamil, R. A., Kazmi, S., Ilahi, N., & Lodhi, M. S. (2015). Financial Performance Analysis of Pakistan Banking Sector using Altman score model of corporate Bankruptcy. Applied research journal, 1(1), 33-40.

Khaliq, A., Motawe Altarturi, B. H., Thaker, H. M., Harun, M. Y., & Nahar, N. (2014). Identifying Financial Distress Firms: A Case Study of Malaysia’s Government Linked Companies (GLC). International Journal of Economics, Finance and Management, 3(3), 141-150.

Kipruto, E. K. (2013). The validity of Altman’s failure prediction model in predicting corporate financial distress in Uchumi Supermarket in Kenya. University of Nairobi.

Makini , P. A. (2015). Validity of Altman’s z-score model in predicting financial distress of listed companies at the Nairobi securities exchange.(Doctoral dissertation), University of Nairobi.

Milašinović, M., Knežević, S., & Mitrović, A. (2019). Bankruptcy forecasting of hotel companies in the Republic of Serbia using Altman's Z-score model. Hotel and Tourism Management, 7(2), 87-95.

Mohammed, S. (2016). Bankruptcy Prediction by Using the Altman Z-score Model in Oman: A Case Study of Raysut Cement Company SAOG and its subsidiaries. Australasian Accounting, Business and Finance Journal, 10(4), 70-80.

Muchlis, T. I., & Jayanti, K. D. (2010). Bankruptcy Risk Analysis Of Property Sector Listed Companies In Indonesia Stock Exchange Using Altman Z-Score. International Handbook of Academic Research and Teaching, 92.

Natalia, O. (2007). Corporate financial distress: An empirical analysis of distress risk. University of St. Gallen, Doctoral Dissertation No. 3430, Switzerland.

Nayem, T. A. (2022). Predicting Bankruptcy Risk of Domestic Pharmaceuticals Company in Bangladesh Using Altman's Z Score Model. Tallinn University of Technology, Estonia.

Njogo, N. S. (2011). A survey into causes of financial distress in co-operative societies in Nairobi. University of Nairobi.

Opler, T. C., & Titman, S. (1994). Financial distress and corporate performance. The journal of finance, 49(3), 1015-1040.

Pratiwi, A. S., Satoto, S. H., Wahyu, S. B., & Suprapti, S. (2022). The Effect of Financial Ratio in the Altman Z-Score On Financial Distress. International Journal of Economics, Business and Accounting Research (IJEBAR), 6(1), 902-909.

Reschiwati, Sayekti, F., Priharti, D. V. & Arsyad, H. M. (2021). The Model of Financial Distress in the Pharmaceutical Industry. International Journal of Disaster Recovery and Business Continuity, 12(1), 449-461.

Shaukat, A., & Affandi, H. (February, 2015). Impact of Financial Distress on Financial Performance - A Study Related to Pakistani Corporate Sector. International Journal of Current Research, 7(2), 12991-12996.

Sudarsanam, S., & Lai, J. (2001). Corporate financial distress and turnaround strategies: An empirical analysis. British Journal of Management, 12(3), 183-199.

Van gestel, T., Baessens, B., Suykens, J., Van Den Poel, D., Baestaens, D.-E., & Willekens, M. (2006). Bayesian kernel based classification for financial distress detection. European Journal of Operational Research, 26(2), 347-356.

Verma, D. (2022). Predicting default of Pharmaceuticals sector using MDA, Altman, Calibrated, logit and Structural model. International Journal of Research and Analytical Reviews, 9(4), 267-300.

Whitaker, R. B. (1999). The early stages of financial distress. Journal of Economics and Finance, 23(2), 123-132.

Zmijewski, M. E. (1984). Methodological issues related to the estimation of financial distress prediction models. Journal of Accounting Research 22, 59-82.

https://doi.org/10.2307/2490859

Published

2023-07-31

How to Cite

Ansari, B., Yawar-uz-Zaman, M., & Sabri, R. (2023). Gauging Bankruptcy using Altman’s Z-Score: Empirical Investigation from the Pharmaceutical Sector. Siazga Research Journal, 2(3), 192–201. https://doi.org/10.58341/srj.v2i3.27

Issue

Section

Articles

Categories